April 4, 2026 • Saudi Arabia
The USA-Israel War on Iran is Saudi Arabia’s Oil Nightmare - Full Infograph
In a stark warning, retired Colonel Larry Wilkerson details how the US war on Iran is already devastating America's Gulf allies. Iran’s first-tier strikes destroyed the US Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain and the region's largest oil refinery, forcing the Bahraini royal family and 2,000 US personnel to flee with nothing but a kit bag. Wilkerson reveals that a second-tier Iranian assault would target Saudi Arabia’s crown jewels: the Ras Tanura facility (650,000 barrels/day) and the Ghawar field (7% of world’s best oil supply), along with the UAE and other Gulf states. He notes that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, insulted by Trump in Florida, has now thrown his lot in with Zelensky and is rerouting pipelines through Syria to avoid Israel. Wilkerson concludes that Iran’s second tier would devastate the global economy, triggering a depression, while only Oman might be spared.
📝 SMikhail
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Ghawar Field
7% of World’s Best Oil
Saudi Arabia’s Ghawar field produces 7% of the world’s best crude oil supply. Iran’s second-tier targets include devastating it.
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Ras Tanura
650,000 Barrels/Day
Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura oil facility produces 650,000 barrels per day. It is on Iran’s second-tier hit list.
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Bahrain
Fifth Fleet HQ Destroyed
Iran’s first-tier strike hit Bahrain, destroying the US Fifth Fleet headquarters and the largest oil refinery in the Gulf. The Bahraini royal family and US personnel fled.
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UAE
Second-Tier Target
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) would be devastated in Iran’s second-tier assault alongside Saudi Arabia.
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Oman
Likely Spared
Wilkerson suspects Oman will be spared from Iran’s second-tier attacks due to its neutral diplomatic role.
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Qatar
Casualties Reported
U.S. personnel and civilians were injured in the 'freys' (frays) in Qatar at Prince Sultan Air Base. Wilkerson estimates over 100 total U.S. casualties including civilians.
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MBS Reroutes Pipelines
Saudi Shift Away from Israel
Insulted by Trump, MBS has changed his pipeline routing to go through Syria instead of Israel, throwing his lot in with Zelensky.
- Iran hit Bahrain and destroyed the US Fifth Fleet headquarters.
- They also destroyed the largest oil refinery in the Gulf.
- The Bahraini royal family and fleet were sent flying away.
- The US sent 2,000 people back to Norfolk, Virginia with nothing but a kit bag. They have now landed in Norfolk with no shirt on their back other than the shirt on their back.
- Citizens of Norfolk, Chesapeake, and Hampton Roads are having to support these people who came back with nothing.
- Wilkerson calls Marco Rubio’s handling of this 'neo-business so incompetently.'
- Iran’s first tier deliberately avoided hitting Saudi Arabia. They stated: 'We're not going to hit Saudi Arabia. We're going to hit the US.'
- Iran’s second tier will hit Saudi Arabia to devastate it.
- Specific targets include: Ras Tanura (650,000 barrels a day) and Ghawar (UNICE) in Saudi Arabia, which produces 7% of the world’s best oil supply.
- Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) was 'so unbelievably insulted' by Donald Trump in southern Florida recently.
- As a result, MBS has thrown his lot in with Zelensky and changed his pipeline routing to avoid Israel and go through Syria instead.
- Iran’s second-tier targets include devastating the Emirates (UAE).
- The UAE is listed alongside Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries as a target of Iran’s devastating second-tier assault.
- Wilkerson suspects Oman will be spared from Iran’s second-tier attacks.
- He states: 'Maybe Oman will be spared. I suspect it will.'
- Oman’s neutral diplomatic role historically makes it a possible exception.
- Wilkerson mentions 'the freys in Qatar, Prince Sultan' where civilians got injured.
- He estimates total US casualties (military and civilian) are 'well over a hundred.'
- He does not know how many Saudi, Bahraini, or other Gulf state casualties there are, but says 'probably quite a few.'
- Iran hit the major US onward movement facility in Kuwait that was used for the two Iraq wars.
- Last time Wilkerson saw it, the facility was burning.
- This complicates any potential US ground operation because they can no longer use that facility to flow troops into the region.
- Iran’s second tier is not about warning but devastation: 'to devastate the region, to devastate Saudi Arabia, to devastate the Emirates, all the other countries.'
- The second tier would be a devastating blow to the global economy because it targets the world’s key oil processing centers.
- If Iran hits these targets and Houthis close the Red Sea (Bab el-Mandeb), two of the world’s most important waterways would be taken out of commission.
- The result could be a global depression, not just a recession.
- Wilkerson notes the US has not filled about 30% of embassy staffs in the region under Trump, with no ambassadors in those countries.
- This lack of diplomatic presence contributed to the failure to give warning (NEO - Non-combatant Evacuation Operation) before the strikes.
- The US did not want to give warning because it would tip off the enemy.
KEY QUOTES
They hit Bahrain and destroyed the fifth fleet headquarters and destroyed the largest oil refinery in the Gulf. Been there for years and put the Bahraini royal family and fleet flying away.
We're not going to hit Saudi Arabia. We're going to hit the US.
This time, that's not a criterion. This time they're going to hit it to devastate it, to devastate the region, to devastate Saudi Arabia, to devastate the Emirates, all the other countries. Maybe Oman will be spared. I suspect it will.
Ras Tanura in Saudi Arabia where it's 650,000 barrels a day… UNICE in Saudi Arabia where it's 7% of the world's best supply of best oil.
Mohammed bin Salman being so unbelievably insulted by Donald Trump in southern Florida recently that now he's thrown his lot in with Zelensky and has changed his routing of his pipelines and other things to avoid Israel and to go through Syria instead.
We sent 2,000 people back with a suitcase a kit back to Norfolk that have now landed in Norfolk. That's how Marco Rubio did his in neo-business so incompetently.
The citizens of Norfolk and Chesapeake and other areas, Hampton Roads are having to support these people who've come back with nothing, no shirt on their back other than the shirt on their back and nothing, just the kit back.
This would be a devastating blow to the global economy because we're talking about places like Ras Tanur… 7% of the world's best supply of best oil.
I think we're well over a hundred [casualties] and it includes some civilians that got injured in the freys in Qatar, Prince Sultan. I don't know how many casualties are Saudi or Bahraini or whatever. Probably quite a few.
Saudi Arabia
Iran war
Bahrain
UAE
Oman
Qatar
Kuwait
Mohammed bin Salman
MBS
Trump insult
Fifth Fleet
Ras Tanura
Ghawar oil field
7% world oil
pipeline rerouting Syria
Zelensky
US casualties Norfolk
Prince Sultan Air Base
second tier targets
Gulf allies
oil refinery destruction
Persian Gulf
Strait of Hormuz